Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.039236 0.042656 0.046099 0.049819 0.053719 0.057680 0.062001
2025-10-26 0.034116 0.039202 0.044490 0.050375 0.056716 0.063322 0.070702
2025-11-02 0.028550 0.034648 0.041187 0.048665 0.056927 0.065726 0.075756
2025-11-09 0.024852 0.031727 0.039309 0.048192 0.058216 0.069089 0.081686
2025-11-16 0.021938 0.029391 0.037831 0.047936 0.059555 0.072359 0.087399
2025-11-23 0.020448 0.028543 0.037914 0.049336 0.062666 0.077538 0.095194
2025-11-30 0.019031 0.027640 0.037817 0.050428 0.065347 0.082177 0.102346
2025-12-07 0.017592 0.026582 0.037431 0.051090 0.067457 0.086111 0.108660
2025-12-14 0.016061 0.025285 0.036654 0.051196 0.068842 0.089155 0.113913
2025-12-21 0.015206 0.024787 0.036808 0.052384 0.071478 0.093632 0.120810
2025-12-28 0.013560 0.023126 0.035402 0.051569 0.071637 0.095147 0.124215
2026-01-04 0.012539 0.022236 0.034920 0.051854 0.073089 0.098161 0.129356
2026-01-11 0.011726 0.021605 0.034770 0.052572 0.075111 0.101915 0.135456
2026-01-18 0.010949 0.020974 0.034584 0.053220 0.077035 0.105555 0.141438
2026-01-25 0.009391 0.019085 0.032615 0.051487 0.075926 0.105479 0.142951
2026-02-01 0.008406 0.017976 0.031651 0.051015 0.076363 0.107257 0.146667
2026-02-08 0.007577 0.017044 0.030881 0.050759 0.077042 0.109308 0.150699
2026-02-15 0.007327 0.017018 0.031388 0.052214 0.079919 0.114080 0.158048
2026-02-22 0.007003 0.016845 0.031665 0.053347 0.082376 0.118334 0.164775
2026-03-01 0.006579 0.016472 0.031628 0.054033 0.084243 0.121850 0.170604
2026-03-08 0.006037 0.015850 0.031191 0.054144 0.085340 0.124393 0.175235
2026-03-15 0.005813 0.015773 0.031562 0.055373 0.087910 0.128791 0.182161
2026-03-22 0.005114 0.014773 0.030484 0.054530 0.087707 0.129670 0.184724